Volatility in Retirement: Not a Good Thing

by Mike

Earlier this month, I took a look at how volatility affects your return when dollar-cost-averaging into an investment. (In short, it increases it.)

While in St. Louis for the holidays, I had a conversation with a family member that made me think that it might be prudent to explain the other side of the equation: Volatility’s effect on returns when dollar-cost-averaging out of an investment.

The short version is that, when DCA’ing out, volatility has the opposite effect that it does when DCA’ing in. In other words, it has a significant negative effect on returns.

Why?

For the exact same reason that increased volatility helped returns when buying shares: Volatility drives the average price per share downward. Unfortunately, however, a lower price per share is not a good thing when you’re the one selling. ;)

Conveniently enough, most retired investors are already capitalizing on this fact (even if they’re entirely unaware of it) because conventional wisdom says that retired investors should own more bonds and less stocks.

Now, does this mean that when somebody retires they should move all their money into no-volatility investments? Of course not. Over time, stocks outperform bonds (even with volatility having a downward effect on return). The only way for most investors to make it through a 30-year retirement is with a large portion of their portfolio in equities.

Want to learn more about investing?

Enter your email address to receive free updates from this blog. (You won't receive any emails other than blog posts, and you can unsubscribe at any time.)

Like Cliffs Notes...for Investing

If you're looking for a brief, plain-English introduction to investing, I'd encourage you to pick up a copy of my book: Investing Made Simple: Investing in Index Funds Explained in 100 Pages or Less.

Leave a Comment

Comment Rules: Please keep comments on topic and respectful. Any comments that do not (in my opinion) follow these rules will be deleted.

Disclaimer #1: Many of the links on this site are affiliate links. That means that if you click through from my link and buy the linked-to product, or sign up for the linked-to service, I receive a commission. For example, if you click through to Amazon via one of my links, I receive a 6.5% commission for any product you purchase.


Disclaimer #2: By using this site, you explicitly agree to its Terms of Use and agree not to hold Simple Subjects, LLC or any of its members liable in any way for damages arising from decisions you make based on the information made available on this site. The information on this site is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.


Copyright 2010 Simple Subjects, LLC - All rights reserved. Terms of Use and Privacy Policy