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	<title>Comments on: My 30 Year Market Prediction</title>
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	<link>http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/my-30-year-market-prediction/</link>
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		<title>By: Mike</title>
		<link>http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/my-30-year-market-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-214</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 18:38:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=1122#comment-214</guid>
		<description>@Monevator: I know it sounds hard to believe, but my (admittedly anecdotal) experience confirms that it really does happen.

I worked for roughly one year as a financial advisor, and I ran into several people who had done exactly that--and many more who were well on their way.

In fact, that experience was the inspiration for creating this blog. It&#039;s my belief that the ability to simply &quot;not mess up&quot; is the most important factor in a person&#039;s investment success.

There&#039;s no need to come up with any brilliant investment strategy. Just come up with a decent strategy and stick with it. :)

Also, I can&#039;t help but suspect that there really &lt;i&gt;is&lt;/i&gt; a negative correlation between an investor&#039;s return and the attention they pay to short-term market results.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Monevator: I know it sounds hard to believe, but my (admittedly anecdotal) experience confirms that it really does happen.</p>
<p>I worked for roughly one year as a financial advisor, and I ran into several people who had done exactly that&#8211;and many more who were well on their way.</p>
<p>In fact, that experience was the inspiration for creating this blog. It&#8217;s my belief that the ability to simply &#8220;not mess up&#8221; is the most important factor in a person&#8217;s investment success.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s no need to come up with any brilliant investment strategy. Just come up with a decent strategy and stick with it. <img src='http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>Also, I can&#8217;t help but suspect that there really <i>is</i> a negative correlation between an investor&#8217;s return and the attention they pay to short-term market results.</p>
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		<title>By: Monevator</title>
		<link>http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/my-30-year-market-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-213</link>
		<dc:creator>Monevator</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 18:27:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=1122#comment-213</guid>
		<description>@Mike, interesting question. The Lore of the Millionaire Next Door is that he/she salts away $50 a week for 40 years and never reads the Wall Street Journal or checks their statements until they retire accidentally wealthy. I find it pretty hard to believe that someone can grow wealthy without taking more interest, however.

Be ironic if returns did reduce as attention to the industry/markets increased! A sort of natural dampening system.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Mike, interesting question. The Lore of the Millionaire Next Door is that he/she salts away $50 a week for 40 years and never reads the Wall Street Journal or checks their statements until they retire accidentally wealthy. I find it pretty hard to believe that someone can grow wealthy without taking more interest, however.</p>
<p>Be ironic if returns did reduce as attention to the industry/markets increased! A sort of natural dampening system.</p>
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		<title>By: David</title>
		<link>http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/my-30-year-market-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-209</link>
		<dc:creator>David</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Jan 2009 19:08:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=1122#comment-209</guid>
		<description>Mike,

Thanks for the response.  Out of curiosity, would you be able to email me your contact info?  I have a question for you about guest posts, but I could not find your email address anywhere on the site.

Thanks,
David</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mike,</p>
<p>Thanks for the response.  Out of curiosity, would you be able to email me your contact info?  I have a question for you about guest posts, but I could not find your email address anywhere on the site.</p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
David</p>
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		<title>By: Mike</title>
		<link>http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/my-30-year-market-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-208</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Jan 2009 13:19:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=1122#comment-208</guid>
		<description>@Monevator: I&#039;ve often wondered whether working in the personal finance industry (whether via a 9-5 job, or simply blogging about it) actually hurts a person&#039;s chances of staying level-headed.

@David: I never buy individual stocks. As to taking advantage of high dividend yields in a 401k, I&#039;d check if there is a low cost &quot;equity income&quot; fund.

Or simply invest in an all-market or S&amp;P index fund. With prices of everything down, dividend yields on everything are up. No need to go bargain hunting when &lt;i&gt;everything&lt;/i&gt; is on sale.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Monevator: I&#8217;ve often wondered whether working in the personal finance industry (whether via a 9-5 job, or simply blogging about it) actually hurts a person&#8217;s chances of staying level-headed.</p>
<p>@David: I never buy individual stocks. As to taking advantage of high dividend yields in a 401k, I&#8217;d check if there is a low cost &#8220;equity income&#8221; fund.</p>
<p>Or simply invest in an all-market or S&#038;P index fund. With prices of everything down, dividend yields on everything are up. No need to go bargain hunting when <i>everything</i> is on sale.</p>
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		<title>By: David</title>
		<link>http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/my-30-year-market-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-207</link>
		<dc:creator>David</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Jan 2009 13:13:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=1122#comment-207</guid>
		<description>What&#039;s the best way to take advantage of high dividend yields within the confines of a 401K?

I agree that now is a good buying opportunity, but I&#039;m not ready to start buying indiviual stocks yet.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What&#8217;s the best way to take advantage of high dividend yields within the confines of a 401K?</p>
<p>I agree that now is a good buying opportunity, but I&#8217;m not ready to start buying indiviual stocks yet.</p>
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		<title>By: Monevator</title>
		<link>http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/my-30-year-market-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-205</link>
		<dc:creator>Monevator</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Jan 2009 18:43:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=1122#comment-205</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s funny how one can know and understand and even write about these things and still get caught up in the hysteria. 

When bank shares crashed again last week, I did think for a moment maybe this is it for shares, at least in the West. I didn&#039;t do anything about it for numerous reasons - not least because I don&#039;t really believe &#039;this is it&#039;, but also because as you say where are you going to put the money?

Government bonds look like the next bubble to me. I suspect everyone will rush for the exit at the same time - either because the economy improves and shares take off again, or because it *really* doesn&#039;t, and overseas investors get spooked, even against their own interests, and start selling.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s funny how one can know and understand and even write about these things and still get caught up in the hysteria. </p>
<p>When bank shares crashed again last week, I did think for a moment maybe this is it for shares, at least in the West. I didn&#8217;t do anything about it for numerous reasons &#8211; not least because I don&#8217;t really believe &#8216;this is it&#8217;, but also because as you say where are you going to put the money?</p>
<p>Government bonds look like the next bubble to me. I suspect everyone will rush for the exit at the same time &#8211; either because the economy improves and shares take off again, or because it *really* doesn&#8217;t, and overseas investors get spooked, even against their own interests, and start selling.</p>
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		<title>By: Miranda</title>
		<link>http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/my-30-year-market-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-203</link>
		<dc:creator>Miranda</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Jan 2009 15:40:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=1122#comment-203</guid>
		<description>I agree that now is a good time to buy. We&#039;ve started upping our retirement fund contributions so that we can buy more shares now for the money. Down the road, we&#039;ll see higher returns. According to your prediction, about the time we retire will be a good time to liquidate :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree that now is a good time to buy. We&#8217;ve started upping our retirement fund contributions so that we can buy more shares now for the money. Down the road, we&#8217;ll see higher returns. According to your prediction, about the time we retire will be a good time to liquidate <img src='http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: Mike</title>
		<link>http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/my-30-year-market-prediction/comment-page-1/#comment-204</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Jan 2009 14:41:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=1122#comment-204</guid>
		<description>Hi Miranda.

Sounds like a good plan to me. :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Miranda.</p>
<p>Sounds like a good plan to me. <img src='http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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