The Fairholme fund is an actively managed mutual fund run by a fellow named Bruce Berkowitz. Since the fund’s inception in 1999, Berkowitz has had an impressive run. According to Morningstar, the Fairholme fund is in the top 1% of funds in its category (large-cap value funds) for both 5-year and 10-year annualized returns. That’s quite an achievement!
However, as esteemed investment author Taylor Larimore recently pointed out, the fund’s performance has been rather lacking over the last year. In fact, it’s been pretty bad. For the twelve months ending 4/29/2011, Fairholme is in the bottom 1% of funds in its category. Yikes.
So what does that mean for investors in that fund? Is Berkowitz’s hot streak over? Or is this just a short-term hiccup in what will turn out to be another decade of superstar performance?
I have no idea.
And that’s the point.
Actively Manged Funds: You Can Never Be Sure.
When you own an actively managed fund, there will be periods during which your fund underperforms its benchmark and its peers–sometimes dramatically. When that happens, you have to decide whether or not you want to continue holding the fund, which means trying to determine whether:
- The poor performance is just a fluke and your actively managed fund’s performance will soon pick back up,
- The fund manager has “lost his touch.” (For example, he had previously succeeded by exploiting a particular market inefficiency, but that inefficiency has now become public knowledge, rendering it ineffective and leaving your manager scrambling to find a new trick.),
- The fund has grown so large that the fund manager can no longer handle it effectively, or
- The fund manager was never anything but lucky in the first place, and his luck has now run out.
Years later, with the benefit of hindsight, you may be able to tell which of those scenarios was actually the case. But while it’s actually happening, all you can know with certainty is that your fund is losing money and falling behind its peers.
Yet Another Reason I Like Index Funds
When you invest in index funds, the overwhelming majority of your funds’ performance will be explained by two things:
- The performance of the underlying indexes, and
- The funds’ costs. (Lower costs = better returns.)
As a result, you don’t have to spend time researching fund managers. You don’t have to spend time trying to determine whether a particular manager is skillful rather than just lucky. And you don’t have to spend time worrying about whether your fund’s manager has “lost his touch.”
Truth be told, I don’t even know the names of the people who run the funds I own. It’s not that I don’t appreciate their work. It’s just that the information isn’t particularly relevant to what I do with my portfolio.
If you’re an index fund investor, management risk–the risk that your fund’s performance will be harmed by the manager’s poor decisions–is one thing you don’t have to worry about.






