Comments on: Asset Class Performance and Timing the Market http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/asset-class-performance-and-timing-the-market/ Index Investing: The Oblivious Investor Thu, 11 Mar 2010 15:45:50 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Mike http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/asset-class-performance-and-timing-the-market/comment-page-1/#comment-90 Mike Fri, 28 Nov 2008 14:24:53 +0000 http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=468#comment-90 @Miranda: Sounds like a great plan to me! (Who says boring isn't fun? ;) @Ren: Thank you. :) @Monevator: That's a wonderful example. People are <i>always</i> looking for ways to beat the system. Apparently we just can't keep ourselves from thinking that we're smarter than everybody else. @Miranda: Sounds like a great plan to me! (Who says boring isn’t fun? ;)

@Ren: Thank you. :)

@Monevator: That’s a wonderful example. People are always looking for ways to beat the system. Apparently we just can’t keep ourselves from thinking that we’re smarter than everybody else.

]]> By: Monevator http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/asset-class-performance-and-timing-the-market/comment-page-1/#comment-87 Monevator Fri, 28 Nov 2008 08:29:40 +0000 http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=468#comment-87 Here in the UK there's a version of the US Motley Fool financial site. One of its early writers created a High Yield portfolio designed to replace an annuity for somebody looking to retire. One of the guidelines of this system was the you never sold shares you bought at the start -- you bought and forgot about them, and enjoyed the income. The strategy became very popular and had its own discussion board, but huge numbers of the posts were about whether to sell specific shares. Even when a strategy had been designed specifically for people for non-dealing, people assumed they could tweak it to get a better result by adding in some trading (/churning) of low yielders for high yielders, etc. One problem with investment is we can rarely see over the long-run what would have happened if we'd followed a different path. Even with that graphic you link to, there are clearly many different permutations through all that data. You can only learn from other people's retrospects. Here in the UK there’s a version of the US Motley Fool financial site. One of its early writers created a High Yield portfolio designed to replace an annuity for somebody looking to retire.

One of the guidelines of this system was the you never sold shares you bought at the start — you bought and forgot about them, and enjoyed the income.

The strategy became very popular and had its own discussion board, but huge numbers of the posts were about whether to sell specific shares. Even when a strategy had been designed specifically for people for non-dealing, people assumed they could tweak it to get a better result by adding in some trading (/churning) of low yielders for high yielders, etc.

One problem with investment is we can rarely see over the long-run what would have happened if we’d followed a different path. Even with that graphic you link to, there are clearly many different permutations through all that data. You can only learn from other people’s retrospects.

]]> By: Singapore Recession http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/asset-class-performance-and-timing-the-market/comment-page-1/#comment-85 Singapore Recession Thu, 27 Nov 2008 12:17:34 +0000 http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=468#comment-85 Hi Mike, I loved the way you interpret the info and your sharp observations. great job! Ren Hi Mike,

I loved the way you interpret the info and your sharp observations.

great job!

Ren

]]> By: Miranda http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/asset-class-performance-and-timing-the-market/comment-page-1/#comment-84 Miranda Wed, 26 Nov 2008 15:26:57 +0000 http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/?p=468#comment-84 Ah, timing the market. It's so hard to do. Which is why I'm one of those boring investors that just gets in on value stocks when they are relatively low, and holds on to them. Ah, timing the market. It’s so hard to do. Which is why I’m one of those boring investors that just gets in on value stocks when they are relatively low, and holds on to them.

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