August 2009

We tag certain pools of money for certain purposes. We have emergency funds, opportunity funds, new car funds, etc.

Similarly, most of us tend to see retirement accounts and taxable accounts as separate entities. We think of retirement accounts as intended for long-term goals and taxable accounts as intended (at least partially) for short-term goals.

The natural result, then, is that most of us invest our taxable accounts conservatively and our tax-sheltered accounts more aggressively.

From a purely mathematical standpoint, however, there’s no benefit to doing so. In fact, most of us could earn greater after-tax returns if we flipped our asset location so that it would be closer to:

  1. Taxable accounts holding your equity investments (preferably ETFs due to their tax efficiency).
  2. Tax-sheltered accounts holding your fixed income investments.

But very few people do that.

It’s All One Portfolio

The trick is to learn to look at your entire portfolio as a whole.

For example, let’s imagine that you have $100,000 in a taxable account and $70,000 in a Roth IRA. Also your ideal allocation is to have $20,000 in cash (ready to go for emergencies) and then split the rest so that it’s 2/3 in stocks and 1/3 in bonds.

My suggestion would be to invest as follows:

  • Taxable account: $100,000 in stock ETFs
  • Roth IRA: $20,000 in something very liquid (money market, for instance) and $50,000 in bond index funds.

The problem most people would have with this allocation is that it appears dangerous: What if you need to tap the emergency fund?

  • If you pull money (aside from original contributions) out of a Roth, you’ll have to pay the extra 10% tax on early withdrawals, and
  • The stock ETFs in your taxable account make a poor emergency fund because they’re so volatile.

In reality, however, you still have an accessible emergency fund. You just have to be slightly more creative to get to it. For example, let’s imagine that at some point, you need to access $10,000, but the market has just had a severe decline, so you don’t want to liquidate your stock holdings. My approach would be to:

  1. Sell $10,000-worth of stock ETFs in your taxable account.
  2. Move $10,000 in your Roth from the money market into stock index funds.

By doing so, you’ve accessed $10,000 in cash and your total stock allocation is untouched (meaning you haven’t had to “sell low”).

In Short

By remembering to look at your portfolio as a whole, you can take better advantage of the tax shelter provided by retirement accounts. End result: You earn a greater after-tax return using the exact same asset allocation you already have.

August 31, 2009 2 comments

As many of you know, I write a series of books that’s intended to be something akin to CliffsNotes for financial topics.

So far, there’s one about accounting, one about business entity selection, one about taxes for independent contractors/sole proprietors, and one about taxes for people with “regular jobs.”

At the moment, I’m wrapping up the next one in the series: Investing Made Simple.

Much like the others in the series:

  • This book is not a great work of literary art.
  • This book is not going to make you an absolute expert on the topic, and
  • This book is not going to provide you with a way to get rich overnight.

What it will do (hopefully) is provide an easy-to-understand, concise introduction to the topic of prudent investing.

More info to come later. :)

And now for this week’s roundup:

Investing Articles

Other Personal Finance Articles

Thanks as always for reading and discussing. :) I hope you all enjoy your weekends.

August 28, 2009 2 comments

Fire

We have a little toaster oven in our kitchen. Right on the glass door the following warning is painted:

“IF CONTENTS IGNITE, KEEP DOOR CLOSED AND UNPLUG OVEN.”

I like that. Right upfront, it warns you about the worst-case scenario and gives you sound advice about how to react in case such an event occurs.

Everyday when I use the toaster oven to make breakfast, I see that warning. Should my bagel ever catch fire, I’ll know immediately how to respond. :)

Warnings on Credit Cards

What if credit cards came with warnings like that? What if (preferably somewhere on the card itself) a mandatory warning was included:

Warning: Do not purchase something if you could not buy it with cash. Doing so could result in a downward spiral of debt accumulation.

Or perhaps monthly credit card statements should come with the following disclosure:

Warning: Not paying off your balance in full will result in the payment of extremely high rates of interest.

Warnings on Mutual Funds

Or what if mutual funds came with better, more prominently displayed warnings?* Here are my votes for a couple:

Warning: Actively managed mutual funds have a less than 50% probability of outperforming low-cost index funds with a similar asset allocation.

Warning: Equity mutual funds tend to be extremely volatile. In all likelihood, this fund will experience dramatic declines in value from time to time. It’s generally a poor idea to sell immediately after such a decline.

*Yes, mutual funds come with many warnings in their prospectuses, but the reality is that most investors do not bother to read the prospectus before investing in a fund. I’m proposing including such warnings prominently in all mutual fund advertising materials.

Warnings on Stock Trades

And what if, prior to placing a stock trade, a pop-up window appeared with the following reminder:

Warning: Frequent trading leads to increased costs and increased taxes, with no increase in expected return.

What do you think?

Do you think such bold, in-your-face warnings would help people to avoid making serious financial mistakes? Or would they (much like the warnings on cigarette packages) go mostly unheeded?

If you do like the idea, what warnings would you suggest?

August 27, 2009 14 comments

For whatever reason, anytime somebody brings up index funds one of the bigger personal finance blogs (like The Simple Dollar or Get Rich Slowly), there tends to be somebody in the comments who says something to the effect of “Index funds failed investors over the last decade.”

I can’t tell you how much this frustrates me given that:

For those who are not aware: “Index Fund” is not synonymous with “S&P 500 Index Fund.” There are index funds that track a whole host of other things, including bonds, commodities, and REITs.

How did a (re)balanced portfolio perform?

Just to set the record straight, I thought I’d take a minute to share the results internationally diversified portfolios, constructed from real index funds over the last decade.

The following portfolios are assumed to have been rebalanced annually on January 1 of each year. The stock portion is assumed to be 30% international (Vanguard’s Total International Stock Index Fund) and 70% U.S. (Vanguard’s Total Stock Market Index Fund). The bond portion is assumed to be Vanguard’s Total Bond Market Index Fund.

From 1999-2008, the following are the annualized rates of return for various asset allocations:

  • 70% bonds, 30% stocks: 4.44%
  • 60% bonds, 40% stocks: 4.02%
  • 50% bonds, 50% stocks: 3.54%
  • 40% bonds, 60% stocks: 3.00%
  • 30% bonds, 70% stocks: 2.39%

[You can see a screen shot of the spreadsheet with all the results here.]

Now, I’ll be the first to admit, those returns are hardly spectacular, and they were almost certainly below investor expectations. But they’re hardly the catastrophic declines in value that some people seem to think occurred.

August 26, 2009 13 comments

The topic of “emergency funds” is popular in the realm of personal finance. The general idea is that things come up (car repairs, medical bills, job losses, etc.), and you need some accessible funds (savings account or money market most likely) so that you’re prepared for such scenarios.

Typically, the discussion is focused on avoiding debt. And that makes sense. You certainly don’t want to have to use a credit card to pay for a several-thousand-dollar expense.

But having an emergency fund isn’t essential just for the purpose of avoiding debt. It’s also essential if you want to be a successful investor.

Emergency Funds and Investing

If you have a decent amount accumulated in your retirement accounts, you’ll likely be able to withdraw from them (rather than use a credit card) to pay for large, unexpected expenses. But ideally, of course, you’d never have to tap into your 401(k) or IRA to fund current spending.

In fact, you don’t want to have to even think about having to do so. If, somewhere in the back of your mind, you know there’s a chance that you’ll have to withdraw money from your 401(k) or IRA to pay for current expenses, you’ll always be worrying about fluctuations in your account value.

And if you can’t stop yourself from worrying about your account value, you’ll never be able to invest in a manner that’s appropriate for long-term savings. You’ll have to invest extremely conservatively. (Either that, or you’ll invest aggressively, only to panic and sell immediately after a market downturn someday.)

My Own Emergency Fund

For me, the size of emergency fund that allows me to sleep well at night (no matter how wildly my IRA value happens to be fluctuating) is 6 months of living expenses. For you it could well be different.

My wife and I use ING Direct for our emergency fund. It’s not always the highest rate, but it tends to be pretty respectable, and I’ve been very happy with their customer service and website. (Also, I’m not the type to spend time swapping between accounts for half a percent here or there.)

If you don’t have one yet…

Get moving. Just open the account somewhere (As long as there are no fees, it doesn’t matter too much where you open it.), and get started building your savings up.

Then you can move on to all the exciting stuff–opening an IRA, maxing out your 401k, and so on.

August 25, 2009 12 comments

Readers often email me to ask what to do when you have asset that you’d like to sell, but which has a large unrealized capital gain. The two most common examples being:

  1. Shares of a given stock which now make up far too high a percentage of their overall net worth, or
  2. An actively managed mutual fund with unreasonably high costs.

Generally, my suggestion is as follows:

First, calculate precisely how much you would owe if you were to sell the asset. If we assume you’ve held the asset for greater than one year, the Long-Term Capital Gain would be taxed at a rate of 15% (unless you’re in a tax bracket of 15% or lower, in which case LTCGs are taxed at a rate of 5%).

Next, weigh the cost of that taxation against the benefits of having an appropriately-balanced portfolio.

Holding Too Much of One Stock

For example, let’s say you own shares of a stock and (in total) they’re currently valued at $100,000. You purchased them (all at the same time, at the same price) for $30,000.

If you were to sell all of your shares, you’d be realizing a LTCG of $70,000. Assuming you’re in the 25% (or greater) tax bracket, the gain will be taxed at a rate of 15%, meaning you’d be paying $10,500 in tax.

Is that too high a price to pay for diversification? If this $100,000 makes up a significant portion of your net worth, it may be wise to accept that 10.5% decline in value now rather than expose yourself to the much larger potential losses that can come from having so much money invested in one company.

It’s also important to note that, assuming you plan on selling the shares at some point in the future (and assuming they don’t decrease in price), you’re going to be paying this tax eventually.

Selling Actively Managed Funds

Alternatively, let’s imagine that you own an actively managed fund and would like to sell it (having been convinced of the benefits of index funds), but your cost basis is significantly below the current value. (Again, let’s use $30,000 and $100,000.)

Again, if you sell, you incur a cost of 10.5%. Essentially the question comes down to how long it will take for the reduced expenses to recoup the tax paid. Often, it’s a much shorter time than you’d think.

For example, it wouldn’t be unheard of for your total costs to decrease by 2% per year or more:

At that rate, it would take barely 5 years before your savings more than outweighed the cost of paying the tax. (And you’d now have a higher cost basis in your holding as well, meaning that when you sell the index fund at a later date, you won’t be paying as much tax as you would had you held the original fund.)

In Summary…

Obviously, this sort of situation is something that must be considered on a case-by-case basis. That said, in my own experience, I find that investors tend to overestimate the cost of selling and underestimate the benefits of having an appropriately constructed portfolio.

One final note: In the above analysis, I assume that you don’t have any investments which a) you’d like to sell, and which b) have unrealized capital losses. If you do have such investments, the solution sometimes becomes a no-brainer: Sell both, use the capital losses to offset the capital gains, and invest the cash as you choose.

August 24, 2009 2 comments

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